Modesto, United States Weather & Climate 2026

Csa Hot-Summer Mediterranean

Monthly climate averages for Modesto, United States. Based on 10-year ERA5 reanalysis data.

Climate Overview

Modesto, United States experiences average highs of 25°C (77°F) and lows of 12°C (54°F) throughout the year. The climate is relatively dry, with only 4 rainy days per month on average. Sunshine is abundant, averaging about 10 hours per day. Average highs have warmed by 0.6°C (1.1°F) across the available records.

Drier season: May–Oct Wetter season: Jan–Dec

At-a-Glance Climate Summary

Live Weather & Air Quality

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Key figures

Climate Score
7.9/10
Best: April, May, June, September, October
UV Index
6
High
Temperature 25°C / 12°C
Feels Like 24°C / 10°C
Rainy Days 4
Rainfall 42 mm
Sunshine 10 h
Humidity 55%
Wind Speed 15 km/h
Dew Point 9°C
Frost Days 1 days
Best Time to Visit
Hottest Month
37°C
July
Avg Low19°C
Rain0days
Coldest Month
6°C
January
Avg High15°C
Rain9days
Driest Month
0days
June
Avg High35°C
Avg Low17°C
Windiest Month
17 km/h
June (Gusts 37)

Worst Time to Visit

Consider avoiding January, February, December due to less favorable weather conditions.

Sun Position
Sunrise 05:43
Daylight 14.8h
Sunset 20:28

14-Day Forecast

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Live conditions

Modesto on the map · live conditions

Modesto, United States

Continent
Americas
City
Modesto
Population
211.3K
Elevation
28 m
Coordinates
37.64°, -121.00°

Seasonal Breakdown

Spring
Mar–May
Avg High 24°C
Avg Low 11°C
Rain 6 days/mo
2/3 best months
Summer
Jun–Aug
Avg High 36°C
Avg Low 18°C
Rain 0 days/mo
1/3 best months
Autumn
Sep–Nov
Avg High 26°C
Avg Low 13°C
Rain 3 days/mo
2/3 best months
Winter
Dec–Feb
Avg High 15°C
Avg Low 6°C
Rain 8 days/mo

Climate Charts

Based on historical averages (2016–2025)

Monthly Temperatures

48°C 42°C 36°C 30°C 24°C 18°C 12°C 6°C 0°C -6°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
HighLowShaded bands show the typical range across the available yearly records.

Line chart showing monthly temperatures. Jan: 15°C / 6°C . Feb: 17°C / 6°C . Mar: 19°C / 8°C . Apr: 24°C / 10°C . May: 29°C / 14°C . Jun: 35°C / 17°C . Jul: 37°C / 19°C . Aug: 36°C / 19°C . Sep: 33°C / 17°C . Oct: 27°C / 13°C . Nov: 19°C / 9°C . Dec: 15°C / 6°C .

Monthly Rainfall

0 mm 20 mm 40 mm 60 mm 80 mm 100 mm JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rainfall

Bar chart showing monthly rainfall. Jan: 108 mm. Feb: 75 mm. Mar: 91 mm. Apr: 31 mm. May: 17 mm. Jun: 1 mm. Jul: 0 mm. Aug: 1 mm. Sep: 4 mm. Oct: 26 mm. Nov: 51 mm. Dec: 96 mm.

Monthly Humidity

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Humidity

Line chart showing monthly humidity. Jan: 78%. Feb: 69%. Mar: 68%. Apr: 57%. May: 45%. Jun: 37%. Jul: 36%. Aug: 40%. Sep: 44%. Oct: 49%. Nov: 65%. Dec: 76%.

Monthly Wind Speed

0 10 20 30 40 50 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Wind SpeedGusts

Bar chart showing monthly wind speed. Jan: 15 km/h . Feb: 16 km/h . Mar: 15 km/h . Apr: 15 km/h . May: 17 km/h . Jun: 17 km/h . Jul: 16 km/h . Aug: 16 km/h . Sep: 14 km/h . Oct: 13 km/h . Nov: 12 km/h . Dec: 13 km/h .

Sunshine

0 3 6 9 12 15 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Sunshine

Sunshine: Jan: 7h. Feb: 9h. Mar: 9h. Apr: 11h. May: 13h. Jun: 14h. Jul: 14h. Aug: 13h. Sep: 11h. Oct: 10h. Nov: 8h. Dec: 7h.

UV Index

0 3 6 8 11 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
UV Index

Bar chart showing monthly UV index. Jan: UV 3. Feb: UV 4. Mar: UV 5. Apr: UV 7. May: UV 8. Jun: UV 8. Jul: UV 8. Aug: UV 8. Sep: UV 6. Oct: UV 5. Nov: UV 4. Dec: UV 3.

Monthly Daylight Hours

16h 14h 12h 10h 8h JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Daylight12h reference

Monthly Dew Point & Comfort

28°C 24°C 20°C 16°C 12°C 8°C 4°C 0°C -4°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Dew Point Dry Comfortable Humid Muggy Oppressive

Month-by-Month Weather Table

January
Fair
Temp
15°C / 6°C
Feels Like
13°C / 3°C
Rain
9days (108 mm) Wet
Sun
6.9h Fair
Humidity
78% Humid
UV
3 Moderate
February
Fair
Temp
17°C / 6°C
Feels Like
15°C / 3°C
Rain
7days (75 mm) Good
Sun
8.5h Good
Humidity
69% Muggy
UV
4.1 Moderate
March
Good
Temp
19°C / 8°C
Feels Like
17°C / 6°C
Rain
11days (91 mm) Wet
Sun
9.4h Good
Humidity
68% Muggy
UV
5.4 High
April best
Excellent
Temp
24°C / 10°C
Feels Like
23°C / 8°C
Rain
4days (31 mm) Good
Sun
11h Excellent
Humidity
57% Moderate
UV
6.8 High
May best
Excellent
Temp
29°C / 14°C
Feels Like
28°C / 12°C
Rain
3days (17 mm) Excellent
Sun
12.7h Excellent
Humidity
45% Moderate
UV
7.8 Very High
June best
Excellent
Temp
35°C / 17°C
Feels Like
34°C / 16°C
Rain
0days (1 mm) Excellent
Sun
13.6h Excellent
Humidity
37% Comfortable
UV
8.1 Very High
July
Good
Temp
37°C / 19°C
Feels Like
36°C / 18°C
Rain
0days (0 mm) Excellent
Sun
13.5h Excellent
Humidity
36% Comfortable
UV
8.2 Very High
August
Good
Temp
36°C / 19°C
Feels Like
36°C / 18°C
Rain
0days (1 mm) Excellent
Sun
12.5h Excellent
Humidity
40% Comfortable
UV
7.6 Very High
September best
Excellent
Temp
33°C / 17°C
Feels Like
32°C / 16°C
Rain
1days (4 mm) Excellent
Sun
11.4h Excellent
Humidity
44% Moderate
UV
6.4 High
October best
Excellent
Temp
27°C / 13°C
Feels Like
25°C / 12°C
Rain
3days (26 mm) Excellent
Sun
9.8h Good
Humidity
49% Moderate
UV
5 Moderate
November
Good
Temp
19°C / 9°C
Feels Like
18°C / 7°C
Rain
5days (51 mm) Good
Sun
8.1h Good
Humidity
65% Muggy
UV
3.5 Moderate
December
Fair
Temp
15°C / 6°C
Feels Like
13°C / 3°C
Rain
9days (96 mm) Wet
Sun
6.8h Fair
Humidity
76% Humid
UV
2.7 Moderate
Month Temp Feels Like Rain Sun Humidity UV Status Details
January 15°C / 6°C 13°C / 3°C 9days (108 mm) Wet 6.9h Fair 78% Humid 3 Moderate Fair View Details
February 17°C / 6°C 15°C / 3°C 7days (75 mm) Good 8.5h Good 69% Muggy 4.1 Moderate Fair View Details
March 19°C / 8°C 17°C / 6°C 11days (91 mm) Wet 9.4h Good 68% Muggy 5.4 High Good View Details
April best 24°C / 10°C 23°C / 8°C 4days (31 mm) Good 11h Excellent 57% Moderate 6.8 High Excellent View Details
May best 29°C / 14°C 28°C / 12°C 3days (17 mm) Excellent 12.7h Excellent 45% Moderate 7.8 Very High Excellent View Details
June best 35°C / 17°C 34°C / 16°C 0days (1 mm) Excellent 13.6h Excellent 37% Comfortable 8.1 Very High Excellent View Details
July 37°C / 19°C 36°C / 18°C 0days (0 mm) Excellent 13.5h Excellent 36% Comfortable 8.2 Very High Good View Details
August 36°C / 19°C 36°C / 18°C 0days (1 mm) Excellent 12.5h Excellent 40% Comfortable 7.6 Very High Good View Details
September best 33°C / 17°C 32°C / 16°C 1days (4 mm) Excellent 11.4h Excellent 44% Moderate 6.4 High Excellent View Details
October best 27°C / 13°C 25°C / 12°C 3days (26 mm) Excellent 9.8h Good 49% Moderate 5 Moderate Excellent View Details
November 19°C / 9°C 18°C / 7°C 5days (51 mm) Good 8.1h Good 65% Muggy 3.5 Moderate Good View Details
December 15°C / 6°C 13°C / 3°C 9days (96 mm) Wet 6.8h Fair 76% Humid 2.7 Moderate Fair View Details

Compare Nearby City Climates

Frequently Asked Questions

The best months to visit Modesto are April, May, June, September, October, when temperatures are comfortable and rainfall is at its lowest. This is based on 10-year climate averages for Modesto, scoring temperature, rainfall, humidity, and sunshine hours.
The hottest month in Modesto is July, with average daytime highs of 37°C (99°F). Plan outdoor activities for early morning or late afternoon if visiting during this period.
The coldest month in Modesto is January, with average overnight lows of 6°C (42°F). Pack warm layers and expect shorter daylight hours during this period.
The wettest month in Modesto is January, averaging 108mm of precipitation across 9 rainy days. An umbrella or waterproof jacket is essential.
Modesto receives approximately 124 sunshine hours per year. The sunniest month is June with around 14 hours. Based on climate data for Modesto.
The least favorable months to visit Modesto are January, February, December, primarily due to less favorable weather conditions. For the best conditions, consider April, May, June, September, October instead.
The annual average UV index in Modesto is 6, classified as high. Standard sun protection (sunscreen, hat) is recommended during prolonged outdoor exposure.
Average humidity in Modesto is 55%, classified as moderate. Humidity levels are generally comfortable and should not affect outdoor activities for most people.
Modesto rarely sees significant snowfall but does experience frost, averaging 1 frost days during the colder months.
Average wind speeds in Modesto are 15 km/h (9 mph). The windiest month is June with peak winds reaching 17 km/h (10 mph) (gusts up to 37 km/h / 23 mph).
Modesto averages 14 clear-sky days per month with overall cloud cover around 34%. The clearest skies occur in July.
The annual average dew point in Modesto is 9°C (48°F), which feels dry and comfortable. Outdoor activities are comfortable year-round from a humidity standpoint.
Modesto has a Hot-Summer Mediterranean climate, classified as Csa under the Köppen system. Temperate climates have mild winters and warm summers, with rainfall spread across the year and four distinct seasons.
The 'feels like' temperature in Modesto ranges from 10°C (50°F) to 24°C (75°F) on average. The 'feels like' temperature closely matches the actual temperature throughout most of the year.
Yes, June is a great time to visit Modesto. It earns a climate score of 9.1/10 with Excellent.
For June in Modesto, pack Breathable clothing, Sunscreen (SPF 30+), Sun hat, Sunglasses, Sandals. With average highs of 35°C (95°F) and 0 rainy days, these essentials will keep you comfortable.

Data Source

Climate data derived from ERA5 reanalysis (ECMWF), averaged over 2016–2025. Sea surface temperature from marine reanalysis data. Climate scores and seasonal estimates are computed by WorldStats.

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