NCD Mortality (30-70)

Probability of dying between ages 30 and 70 from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.

Latest available data

This page uses the latest available WHO observation (2021). Country-level datasets often lag the current calendar year because they depend on official reporting and validation.

WHO 2021

What is the global average NCD Mortality (30-70)?

The global average NCD Mortality (30-70) is 18.89 % probability as of 2021. Kiribati has the highest at 44.1 % probability, while South Korea has the lowest at 6.9 % probability. Data covers 185 countries. Source: WHO.

World Average
18.89 % probability
Highest
Kiribati
44.1 % probability
Lowest
South Korea
6.9 % probability
Countries with Data
185
2021

Top Countries

#1 Kiribati 44.1 % probability
#2 Solomon Islands 40.6 % probability
#3 Micronesia 40.5 % probability
#4 Fiji 37.9 % probability
#5 Vanuatu 36.8 % probability

Regional Averages

Oceania
30.62 % probability
10 country
Africa
22.46 % probability
54 country
Asia
18.27 % probability
47 country
Americas
15.96 % probability
34 country
Europe
14.34 % probability
40 country

Country Rankings

View full rankings
NCD Mortality (30-70) — Country Rankings (2021)
# Country Value
1 Kiribati 44.1 % probability
2 Solomon Islands 40.6 % probability
3 Micronesia 40.5 % probability
4 Fiji 37.9 % probability
5 Vanuatu 36.8 % probability
6 Lesotho 36.3 % probability
7 Afghanistan 32.7 % probability
8 Eswatini 32.3 % probability
9 Samoa 32.3 % probability
10 Philippines 31.9 % probability
11 Haiti 31.6 % probability
12 Zimbabwe 31.2 % probability
13 Central African Republic 30.8 % probability
14 Papua New Guinea 28.5 % probability
15 Somalia 27.6 % probability
16 Eritrea 27.3 % probability
17 Tonga 26.9 % probability
18 Mozambique 26.6 % probability
19 Laos 26.5 % probability
20 Mongolia 26.3 % probability
21 Egypt 26 % probability
22 Madagascar 25.9 % probability
23 Yemen 25.8 % probability
24 Turkmenistan 25.7 % probability
25 Bulgaria 25.6 % probability
26 Pakistan 25.5 % probability
27 Guyana 25.4 % probability
28 Togo 25.4 % probability
29 Guinea-Bissau 25.3 % probability
30 DR Congo 25.1 % probability
31 Malawi 24.9 % probability
32 Burundi 24.8 % probability
33 Ukraine 24.8 % probability
34 Angola 24.7 % probability
35 Moldova 24.7 % probability
36 Uzbekistan 24.6 % probability
37 Cameroon 24.3 % probability
38 Myanmar 24 % probability
39 Sierra Leone 23.9 % probability
40 Belarus 23.8 % probability
41 North Korea 23.7 % probability
42 Guinea 23.6 % probability
43 India 23.6 % probability
44 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 23.6 % probability
45 Zambia 23.6 % probability
46 Burkina Faso 23.4 % probability
47 Chad 23.4 % probability
48 Namibia 23.1 % probability
49 Mali 23 % probability
50 Ivory Coast 22.7 % probability
51 Iraq 22.7 % probability
52 Latvia 22.7 % probability
53 South Africa 22.7 % probability
54 Cambodia 22.6 % probability
55 Russia 22.4 % probability
56 South Sudan 22.4 % probability
57 Ghana 22.2 % probability
58 Georgia 22.1 % probability
59 Liberia 22 % probability
60 Morocco 22 % probability
61 Indonesia 21.9 % probability
62 Gambia 21.8 % probability
63 Hungary 21.7 % probability
64 Mauritius 21.7 % probability
65 Romania 21.5 % probability
66 Uganda 21.5 % probability
67 Senegal 21.4 % probability
68 Syria 21.3 % probability
69 Republic of the Congo 21.2 % probability
70 Kazakhstan 21.2 % probability
71 Sudan 21.2 % probability
72 Benin 20.8 % probability
73 Serbia 20.7 % probability
74 Armenia 20.6 % probability
75 Djibouti 20.6 % probability
76 Bahamas 20.4 % probability
77 Equatorial Guinea 20.3 % probability
78 Trinidad and Tobago 20.3 % probability
79 Jamaica 20.2 % probability
80 Comoros 20.2 % probability
81 Niger 20.2 % probability
82 Timor-Leste 20.1 % probability
83 Vietnam 20.1 % probability
84 Rwanda 20 % probability
85 Bolivia 19.9 % probability
86 Malaysia 19.9 % probability
87 Lithuania 19.8 % probability
88 Libya 19.8 % probability
89 North Macedonia 19.6 % probability
90 São Tomé and Príncipe 19.5 % probability
91 Nepal 19.4 % probability
92 Botswana 19 % probability
93 Kyrgyzstan 18.8 % probability
94 Tanzania 18.8 % probability
95 Mauritania 18.7 % probability
96 Suriname 18.7 % probability
97 Venezuela 18.7 % probability
98 Palestine 18.3 % probability
99 Bangladesh 18.1 % probability
100 Gabon 18.1 % probability
101 Tajikistan 18.1 % probability
102 Kenya 18 % probability
103 Montenegro 18 % probability
104 Honduras 17.8 % probability
105 Nigeria 17.7 % probability
106 Cuba 17.6 % probability
107 Azerbaijan 17.4 % probability
108 Dominican Republic 17.4 % probability
109 Uruguay 17.4 % probability
110 Bosnia and Herzegovina 17.2 % probability
111 Cape Verde 17.2 % probability
112 Grenada 17.1 % probability
113 Poland 17 % probability
114 Ethiopia 16.8 % probability
115 Slovakia 16.6 % probability
116 Mexico 16.3 % probability
117 Paraguay 16.1 % probability
118 Bhutan 15.9 % probability
119 China 15.9 % probability
120 Croatia 15.9 % probability
121 Seychelles 15.6 % probability
122 Estonia 15.5 % probability
123 Saint Lucia 15.5 % probability
124 Belize 15.4 % probability
125 Turkey 15.4 % probability
126 Brunei 14.9 % probability
127 Bahrain 14.8 % probability
128 Guatemala 14.6 % probability
129 Oman 14.6 % probability
130 Brazil 14.5 % probability
131 Thailand 14.5 % probability
132 Czechia 14.2 % probability
133 Barbados 14 % probability
134 Iran 13.9 % probability
135 Sri Lanka 13.9 % probability
136 United States 13.7 % probability
137 Saudi Arabia 13.6 % probability
138 Argentina 13.4 % probability
139 Algeria 13.3 % probability
140 Ecuador 13.2 % probability
141 Tunisia 13 % probability
142 Nicaragua 12.6 % probability
143 El Salvador 12.6 % probability
144 Peru 12.3 % probability
145 Antigua and Barbuda 12.1 % probability
146 Qatar 12.1 % probability
147 Greece 12 % probability
148 Lebanon 11.9 % probability
149 United Arab Emirates 11.6 % probability
150 Germany 11.6 % probability
151 Jordan 11.6 % probability
152 Slovenia 11.6 % probability
153 United Kingdom 11 % probability
154 Panama 10.9 % probability
155 Denmark 10.7 % probability
156 Portugal 10.5 % probability
157 Colombia 10.3 % probability
158 New Zealand 10.3 % probability
159 Singapore 10.3 % probability
160 France 10.2 % probability
161 Puerto Rico 10.1 % probability
162 Albania 10 % probability
163 Austria 9.9 % probability
164 Costa Rica 9.9 % probability
165 Netherlands 9.9 % probability
166 Malta 9.8 % probability
167 Canada 9.7 % probability
168 Finland 9.6 % probability
169 Ireland 9.6 % probability
170 Chile 9.4 % probability
171 Spain 9.3 % probability
172 Kuwait 9.3 % probability
173 Belgium 9.2 % probability
174 Italy 9.1 % probability
175 Maldives 9 % probability
176 Cyprus 8.5 % probability
177 Iceland 8.5 % probability
178 Australia 8.3 % probability
179 Japan 8 % probability
180 Sweden 7.9 % probability
181 Luxembourg 7.8 % probability
182 Norway 7.8 % probability
183 Israel 7.6 % probability
184 Switzerland 7.5 % probability
185 South Korea 6.9 % probability

Definition

NCD Mortality (30-70) is the percent probability of an individual dying between their 30th and 70th birthdays from one of the four main non-communicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease. It serves as a key measure of premature mortality and the effectiveness of health systems in managing chronic conditions.

How it is calculated

This indicator is calculated using life table methods to estimate the risk of death from specific causes within the 30 to 70 age range. It assumes the individual is subject to the age-specific mortality rates observed in a population during a given period. Data is primarily sourced from national civil registration and vital statistics systems.

Interpretation

High values indicate a significant risk of premature death due to lifestyle factors, environmental risks, or inadequate healthcare access. Conversely, low values suggest robust public health interventions, effective screening, and high-quality medical treatment for chronic conditions. A value below 15% is generally considered a target for high-performing health systems.

Frequently Asked Questions

NCD mortality (30-70) measures the probability that a person will die from cardiovascular diseases, cancers, diabetes, or chronic respiratory diseases between age 30 and 70. This metric focuses on premature deaths that are often preventable through public health policies, early detection, and lifestyle changes, reflecting the overall health burden within a country.

According to the latest available data covering 185 countries, Kiribati has the highest NCD mortality rate at 44.1%. This figure indicates that a significant portion of the population faces the risk of premature death from chronic conditions, emphasizing the challenges in managing non-communicable diseases and lifestyle-related health risks within the region.

Based on the latest global rankings, South Korea has the lowest NCD mortality rate at 6.9%. This reflects a very low probability of premature death from major chronic diseases, often attributed to advanced medical infrastructure, high rates of early diagnosis, and effective public health strategies regarding diet, exercise, and tobacco control.

The calculation uses age-specific mortality rates to determine the probability of death within the specified age bracket. It utilizes a life table approach, specifically focusing on deaths attributed to standard disease classification codes for cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, and chronic respiratory disease. This method ensures the figure represents the risk for a hypothetical cohort.

About this data
Source
WHO NCDMORT3070
Definition
Probability of dying between ages 30 and 70 from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.
Coverage
Data for 185 countries (2021)
Limitations
Coverage varies by country and reporting period.